Tuesday, September 15, 2009

CFTop10 Week 3 Games

This week has a bunch of very interesting games. Things will really shake out this week in terms of the overall picture of the Top25 teams in the country.

10. Georgia Tech +4.5 @ Miami -4.5
Pick: Miami to cover. This is going to be a real test for Miami's defense. If they can hold serve and allow their offense to get something going, they can pull out a win here.

9. Tulsa +15.5 @ Oklahoma -15.5
Pick: Oklahoma to cover. Oklahoma's defense is very suspect and Tulsa's offense can be potent. It will be very interesting to see how Oklahoma rebounds after the loss to BYU (Idaho State is not a game). I would not be surprised to see Oklahoma not cover here while looking ahead to a big game against Miami.

8. USC -20.5 @ Washington +20.5
Pick: Washington and the points. USC wins this but I am not sure they cover. The offenses and defenses are going to be very similar due to the closeness of the coaching staffs. I expect that UW will play safe and run the clock. This will bring the score down. USC covers if it scores quickly in the first.

7. Utah +4 @ Oregon -4
Pick: Oregon and the points. Oregon wins this one running away in the 4th. It will stay close early on but the speed of the Oregon offense will begin to roll at the end.

6. Georgia -1 @ Arkansas +1
Pick: Arkansas and the points. Georgia has looked absolutely hopeless so far this season. Arkansas has a ton of talent ready to explode. Ryan Mallet has the best arm in the country and USC transfer Broderick Green is a beast. Arkansas wins this ballgame.

5. Cincinnati 0 @ Oregon State 0
Pick: Cinci has been rolling up the offense, and destroyed OSU last year on their home turf. I don't expect the same thing this year. Even though OSU struggled against a UNLV team defensively, Quizz had almost 200 yards rushing. If OSU can take the lead early I like them to win this game on the backs of the Roger's brothers.

4. Nebraska +4 @ Virginia Tech -4
Pick: Virginia Tech to cover. VT is only going to get better with each game. After a hard loss and a blowout win they should have the confidence to win this out. Nebraska is playing well but they are a year away from the return to the top.

3. Florida State +7.5 @ BYU -7.5
Pick: Florida State and the points. FSU has a significantly better defense than anyone BYU has played to this point. I think they jump out and surprise the Cougs early with hard hits on Max Hall. Hall doesn't make great choices all the time and doesn't have an elite arm. The speed of the FSU defense will open up the offense.

2. Tennessee +29 @ Florida -29
Pick: Tennessee and the points. Tim Tebow has already come out and vowed revenge on Kiffin for his comments about his coach. Ahhhh, poor baby has to stick up for his coach. Tennessee is going into the lions den. The Tennessee offense won't do a whole lot against the speed of Florida's defense, but expect their defense to put up a fight all day long. Florida wins this one by 20, but not 29.

1. Texas Tech +17.5 @ Texas -17.5
Pick: Texas Tech and the points. Texas has yet to play a game this year. Mike Leach and that funky offense will keep the ball going all day and McCoy off the field. I don't expect TT to come out and win this on the road, but Texas won't get spoiled again this year by the Red Raiders. Texas wins by about 10.

Darkhorse upset of the week: South Carolina over Ole Miss.

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