Wednesday, September 9, 2009

CFTop10 Games of Week 2

This is honestly one of the worst weeks of college football I have seen in years. We have about 15 Div 1 teams playing Div 2 opponents. Top that off with another 10-15 top programs playing non-conference games with teams that have losing records over the last decade. The BCS is ruining college competition and not instilling the creation of rivalry games. For all their talk of keeping college sports pure, their formula rewards teams for winning records not quality of competition.

Having said that, here are the best games of the week (as sad as this may seem):

10. Hawaii -2 @ Washington State +2
Pick: Washington State and the points. I don't know what to expect here, but Wazzu has to win sometime. The spread is so thin that its hard to pick some one but that means the Vegas hasn't got a clue either. Wazzu is in dire need of a win so I think that Hawaii won't cover.

9. Idaho +21 @ Washington -21
Pick: Washington to cover. As funny as it seems, we have a Washington team on a 15 game losing streak as a 21 point favor over another FBS team. Goes to show you how much Jake Locker meant to this team last year and how tough of a schedule they have played. Washington is a new team right now and I expect them to roll.

8. Utah -13.5 @ San Jose State +13.5
Pick: San Jose State and the points. San Jose State may have been embarrassed by USC last week but they are certainly a better team that the score showed. They play very very good defense. They show a lot of different looks and their talent is on par with Utah.

7. Vanderbilt +13.5 @ LSU -13.5
Pick: LSU to cover. Once again we have this Vady build up because their QB threw for like 600 yards last week. LSU isn't elite by any means right now, but Vady is a bottom feeder. They get rolled this week.

6. Stanford +3 @ Wake Forest -3
Pick: Stanford and the points. Wake has been solid the last several years but the Cardinal are a physically and mentally tough team. Probably the toughest playing team in the country. They aren't as talented as a lot of teams but they make up for it with their heart. Stanford wins solidly.

5. South Carolina +7 @ Georgia -7
Pick: South Carolina and the points. A battle of the defenses right now. As hard as that may seem. South Carolina plays hard defense, their offense is streaky but they can come on strong. They have some serious talent available. It will be closer than 7.

4. Purdue +12 @ Oregon -12
Pick: Purdue and the points. Unless Masoli and the offensive line do a complete celebrity makeover session this week, I cannot envision them winning by double digits. Especially not with the nice running attack Purdue has. If BSU could run the ball with ease, so can Purdue.

3. Notre Dame -3 @ Michigan +3
Pick: Notre Dame to cover. Michigan is still not ready to face FBS opponents. ND has had a hard time the last several years but their talent is here and its at least better than Michigan. The off field problems with Michigan is a much bigger problem than people realize. It's hurt the team depth and continuity. Notre Dame wins well here.

2. UCLA +9 @ Tennessee -9
Pick: Tennessee to cover. UCLA is still so very young. They have some very talented players but not enough. Karl Dorrell really left the cupboard pretty bare. It will take some more time for the sun to shine on Westwood. Tennessee has an incredible coaching staff and some great talent left over. They win big.

1. USC -6.5 @ Ohio State +6.5
Pick: USC to cover. Frankly I am a little surprised that the line is only 6.5. After the beatdown that OSU received last year, losing a ton of talent on defense and skill players on offense, I would think that USC had a greater advantage. Their skill players are back, as well as their DB's and OL. It's the same OL that blocked for McKight's 100+ last year and protected Mark Sanchez. Look for USC to start a little slow on offense but take over in the 2nd when the OL and DL start pushing people around.

Darkhorse upset of the week: San Jose State over Utah.

1 comment:

Kevin said...

Nice blog Jay. What a weekend in college football. First, we get to see Charlie get stuffed by Michigan. It is all about karma; never take recruits away from BYU or USC (Teo). Next up, BYU gets a final tune-up for the beat down they will put on Felony State University. Provo better increase their police force next week. Lastly, in prime time another Big 10 team gets crushed by a real football team.