Wednesday, October 15, 2008

CFTop10 Week 8 Top 10 Games

1. Missouri @ Texas
Pick: Missouri 33-28
Why: Mizzou and Texas run relatively similar offenses. I don't expect that Texas will bring anything that Mizzou does not practice against on a daily basis. They are better suited to handle the spread option than Oklahoma. The Texas defense will have a very difficult time getting to Chase Daniel due to the fact that he lines up almost 8 yards deep, much farther back than any QB I've ever seen. Doesn't throw the deep ball as well as Oklahoma State and Mizzou needs this game to hang in the hunt for Miami. Chase Daniel is far too accurate a passer and the Mizzou defense will keep the holes plugged up well. It very well could flip flop due to this game being in Austin, but Mizzou should come out very hot for this.

2. LSU @ South Carolina
Pick: South Carolina 21-14
Why: LSU's QB quandry is a bigger problem than people believe. Neither QB they have played has a command of the offense or are suited for it. They are playing a bit out of their comfort zone and it is going to hurt them against an aggressive SC defense. SC has played very well against the run this year. SC's QB situation is not dissimilar to LSU, but Garcia is a very talented kid who has overcome a miriad of problems to finally get on the field. The Ol' Ball coach has been waiting to get this kid on the field. It will be a break out game for the SC offense.

3. Ohio State @ Michigan State
Pick: Ohio State 24-10
Why: Ohio State's defense is playing better every week. Michigan State only has one option, ride Javon Ringer into the endzone. They don't do anything else particularly well, and OSU's linebackers are too good to make play action a serious part of their offense. Pryor and Well's will have record days against a fairly pourus run defense. Don't be surprised if it turns into a blowout.

4. Kansas @ Oklahoma
Pick: Oklahoma 44-21
Why: It is at Oklahoma and Kansas is competely overrated. I don't expect this to be much of a game at all. The separation from the top to the bottom in the Big12 happens this week. It is only an intriguing game from the perspective that people believe in Kansas, although they really have not won a big game in their two years in the top 25.

5. California @ Arizona
Pick: Cal 28-21
Why: Cal has a much more balanced offense and defense, even with the uncertainty at QB. Both QB's have shown they can win and have posted good numbers. Arizona's fairly weak on both sides of the line and Cal is not. Expect Arizona to put up some numbers but struggle to get the ball in the endzone. Cal will probably make some mistakes to keep the game close, but they have better team discipline.

6. Viginia Tech @ Boston College
Pick: VaTech 24-10
Why: Tech plays a lot better defense. This is a battle for the ACC title run. BC cannot afford to lose this game and keep their hopes alive. Tech has been playing very well and Beemer gets his guys jacked up even when they are a little low on the talent. They still have more than BC though. They will play tough defense and get some points from it.

7. Wake Forest @ Maryland
Pick: Maryland 21-13
Why: Maryland has a lot of young talent. They have been playing pretty well this year and have some nice playmakers in their backfield. Wake plays some of the best ball in the country for their talent, but their time is running out. Expect Maryland to shore up their defense inside the 20 and hold Wake to some field goals.

8. BYU @ TCU
Pick: BYU 28-14
Why: BYU has a ton of firepower. Not a lot of startpower, but a lot of firepower. They use great balance with their strong RB Unga and their use of the best TE in CFB is a mismatch for almost anyone. This game is interesting in that it is the last team BYU will face before Utah that actually has a chance of defeating them. If the TCU defense can force BYU into a one dimensional game, they have a chance at winning. Chances are slim.

9. Ole Miss @ Alabama
Pick: Ole Miss 17-14
Why: Ole Miss has had one of the most underrated recruting classes in the last several years. Ed Ogeron may not have won a lot of games, but he had some really solid kids. They have a very talented line and Jevon Snead is the real deal. Bama has some issues on offense and are very young. Ole Miss plays hard and they can really jump up and hit people in the mouth. Bama's defense is good, but not great. The quality of their wins so far continues to be suspect and Houston Nutt knows how to win big games.

10. USC @ Washington State
Pick: USC 70 - 0
Why: The only reason I pick this game is because I want to see if USC can hang 70+ on the dismal Cougars. The last time USC was favored this much they laid an egg against Stanford at home. I don't see that happening here, but stranger things have happened.

Dark Horse Upset: Ole Miss over Alabama.

1 comment:

HunnyHull said...

All I gotta say is if this turn out like the Stanford game I just might have to shoot somebody!