Tuesday, October 14, 2008

CFTop10 Week 7 Picks Recap

Record - 4 - 6

In my defense most of the teams I picked to win were very competitive in their games, and most folded in the last few minutes.

1. Texas @ Oklahoma
- Neither team figured out how to play defense, except that Texas's offense was so well rounded that it left Oklahoma with no real ability to run the ball. Both teams are going to struggle against strong defensive teams if they cannot figure out how to stop people. I though Oklahoma would get to McCoy a little more, they didn't and Texas reaped the benefits. Explosive offenses. Mediocre defenses.

2. LSU @ Florida
- As I stated several weeks ago, LSU is not as good as advertised. They are a mess at QB and their vaunted defense isn't all that vaunted. Les Miles is running out of Nick Saban's players and I suspect they will struggle mightily in the next several weeks. Florida's offense has a ton of speed and talent. Their weakness is still in the offensive line and it will be exploited by tougher defensive teams.

3. Oklahoma State @ Missouri
- I had a feeling Oklahoma State could win this one if they got some stuff going early. They did, and they did. Mizzou never was able to keep up with the Cowboys' big plays. Mizzou played very consistant, but their defense was unable to stop the long ball and several long runs. Their defense will continue to struggle against high-powered offenses. Oklahoma State played gritty ball on defense and was able to capitalize.

4. Penn State @ Wisconsin
- Wisconsin made some huge errors at the close of the first half that allowed Penn State to take them out of their offense. If Wisconsin gets down early they have virtually no ability to come back with their style of offense. They play ball control offense and that didn't happen. Their defense spent so much time on the field that there was no way they could stop the huge play capability of Penn State's offense.

5. Colorado @ Kansas
- Game was actually much closer than the score. The Buffs hung with Kansas into the 4th quarter and some very key turnovers cost them dearly. It will be very interesting to see how Hawk deals with the QB issue. His son needs to make better decisions because it is hurting a very talented (but very young) football team. Kansas is still very overrated and didn't play particularly well against a mediocre but upcomming Colorado team.

6. Notre Dame @ North Carolina
- The Golden Domers really gave this game away. Blowing a nice lead and then some key turnovers spoiled their chances at getting into the Top 25. They played very well offensively against a very good NC defense. They ND defense needs a lot of work and even more discipline, but their offense shows some very good things. Jimmy Clausen is maturing but is still a long ways away from being the savior of the Notre Dame program he was hyped to be. North Carolina should vie for the ACC title and will have to be on their game to beat a VT team that is coming into their own right now.

7. Tennessee @ Georgia
- Georgia finally got their offense really going. I don't know if this speaks more for them or less of Tennesee, but Phil Fullmer is on his last leg. They are terrible on both sides of the ball. Georgia still has some work to do on defense, but their offense is looking more balanced and their WR's are starting to run better routes. I don't think it will be enough to get them to the SEC Title Game though.

8. Clemson @ Wake Forest
- Losing CJ Spiller had a lot to do with this loss, but it still shouldn't have ended this way. Clemson has a ton more talent than Wake but could not seem to get anything right. As predicted, Tommy Bowden is gone. I thought they would give him another week, but with the schedule they have in front of them, they might as well make the change now. Wake is playing Wake ball. They aren't going to blow anyone out of the water, but they find ways to win.

9. Arizona State @ USC
- About as ugly of a win as I've seen USC have in a long time. Arizona State is not as bad as they seem. USC's defense is just that good. Rudy Carpenter is a good QB, but cannot get the kind of protection needed to keep him going the whole game. USC's talent is outstanding, but it is so fragmented and spuratic that you never know what you are going to get on offense.

10. Nebraska @ Texas Tech
- Bo Pelini did what he needed to do. He schemed Texas Tech into max protection throws and kept the ball in front of them. I didn't think they had the offensive fire power to hang in there, but then again, this is the Big12, there is no such thing as defense in the Big12 right now.

Dark Horse Upset: Vandy is a novelty item. They will lose another 4 games before the end of the year. The real question is whether or not they will be supplanted by another local team as the bottom feeder of the SEC.

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