Wednesday, October 8, 2008

CFTop10 Week 7 Top 10 Games

1. Texas @ Oklahoma
Pick: Oklahoma 33-30
Why: Neither team has played against a defense or a particularly potent offense so it is hard to decide who has a better mixture of the two. I am going to give Oklahoma the nod because I think more of Bob Stoops' defense than Mack Browns. If they can get to Colt McCoy, he will struggle.

2. LSU @ Florida
Pick: Florida 35-28
Why: Florida has a more potent offense than LSU has defense. Florida's defense isn't very good, but they are playing at home and when Superman says he's going to deliver the goods, I'd take him up on that.

3. Oklahoma State @ Missouri
Pick: Missouri 42-28
Why: Mizzou is playing at home and Oklahoma State is not proven. I think that this could go the totally opposite direction with Oklahoma State winning if a few things go their way early, but I don't see it happening. No one is going to cover JMac and Chase Daniel will have plenty of time to throw the ball.

4. Penn State @ Wisconsin
Pick: Wisconsin 28-21
Why: Wisconsin is going to need this game if they want to play in a decent bowl game. They are playing at home and have a solid defense. They will step up after a tough loss to OSU and will hold the Lions in check. They will play control offense with solid inside running and drain the clock.

5. Colorado @ Kansas
Pick: Colorado 24-20
Why: You cannot hold Dan Hawkins down very long. He's a great gameplanner and Kansas is vastly overrated. Colorado will force Kansas into mistakes and win a close one.

6. Notre Dame @ North Carolina
Pick: Notre Dame 33-21
Why: As much as it pains me to pick the Irish for anything, I think they have the horses on offense to get it done. They are playing hot right now and have had a lot of sucess. This will give them the mental boost to win the game. Expect Clausen to throw the ball down field a lot. This is the signature win this program needs right now to jump into the polls.

7. Tennessee @ Georgia
Pick: Georgia 28-14
Why: Georgia is playing at home and the Vols are just not very good. The only thing that makes this an intruiging game is that Phil Fulmer need this game if he wants to keep his job. Georgia should run the ball all over Tenn though.

8. Clemson @ Wake Forest
Pick: Clemson 28-24
Why: Coach Bowden would like to keep his job. That probably won't happen if he cannot win the ACC this year. Dropping from the top 10 to where they are, he needs to run the table to have any hopes of seeing another year on the sideline for the Tigers.

9. Arizona State @ USC
Pick: USC 44-10
Why: This should be interesting if both Carpenter and Sanchez sit. USC has more reason to sit Sanchez (tons of weapons on offense and a stellar defense) than ASU does with Carpenter. If Sanchez sits, expect Carpenter to play. If Sanchez plays, there is a pretty good chance Carpenter won't. USC is not the defense to take chances on. But, even with Mustain at QB, expect USC to roll big.

10. Nebraska @ Texas Tech
Pick: Texas Tech 35-14
Why: This is another game where it could very easily go the other way. Nebraska coming off of a very embarrasing home loss to Mizzou needs a nice rebound game. Tech's spread offense churns out the yards, but doesn't do anything extra-ordinary. It is just a matter of whether or not the DB's for Nebraska are up to covering all those guys without leaving gaping holes for Crabtree to weave through. I don't expect that they will though.


Darkhorse Upset of the Week: Miss St. over Vandy. 14-10.

3 comments:

dw said...

Nice picks and good analysis. I like Mizzou and TT to roll big along with OU. It pains me as well to pick the Irish and I don't think this is their week. UNC is scoring 32 points a game and they came back strong on a tough Miami defense on the road. With Brandon Tate, one of the best players in the country, they should have no problem putting up another 32 plus on ND. Their secondary, although young, are very athletic and should pick of Claussen a couple of times. I like the site and hopefully we get some more followers soon. Keep it up. Go SC!!

KCH said...

Okay, lets start with some discrepancies due to either a lack of homework or following of the season.
Let's start with the first mistake...Clemson...highly overrated and especially on the road against a very solid Wake squad. Wake 12...Clemson 7 Off to a nice start. Now..Tex. Tech you have winning but only 35 points? They put 70 on them last year, they'll put atleast 50 this year in an absolute rout

Florida LSU..Florida has a name offense, but it hasn't done diddly this year. LSU has a power running game and that will be the difference in their ball control win. Florida may get shut down again.

You cant' keep Hawkins and Colorado down? He's got a %500 winning percentage, so you evidently cant keep him up either. Colorado just got blasted and exposed....to beat Kansas on the road? Not a chance in hell thats gonna happen.Reesing will eat them alive

Notre Dame?!!! They've played NOBODY...UNC is athletic and on the rise, time for that fat boy and his sorry band of catholics to be exposed for the joke they truly are.

Lastly, have you seen Wisconsins offense lately? That's because they have absolutely no offense whatsoever...meanwhile PSU is lighting it up on mostly nobodys....Wisonsin can play D and their at home...again, the time of possession will kill their Defense as they will be on the field all day long. With an O,I'd give this one to you. But there is none to speak of in Madison.

All in all, you did a nice job...these are all opinions, so your guess is as good as mine. Thank you for the site, I just wanted to railroad some of the picks. Breakdowns need more depth to them, but I'll keep reading,you just keep it up. Good work

JEast said...

It took Wake 3 quarters to win the game. I thought the score would be a little higher and that Clemson would use their RB's a little better than they have. I guess that is why Bowden won't be coaching much longer at Clemson. Close game, very well could have swung the other way.

I'll respond to the other comments as the games unfold.